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One of BBY's Favourites: FMS Takeover Bid (150% return)

Important News For BBY Clients - TARGET PRICE A$0.40/sh.

BBY retains its “STRONG BUY” on Flinders Mines (FMS) - TARGET PRICE A$0.40/sh - was initiated into the BBY universe on July 1st 2011 by Senior BBY Analyst, Mike Harrowell.

Today, Flinders Mines (FMS) has received and welcomed a A$554 million takeover offer from Russian steel producer Magnitogorsk Iron and Steel works (MMK).

Notably, the recommendation was reiterated on CNBC Asia yesterday afternoon by BBY CEO Glenn Rosewall.

The offer is for all issued shares in FMS for A$0.30 per share. A RETURN of 150% for BBY CLIENTS.

The A$0.30 per share offer is almost double yesterday’s closing price. The FMS Board has unanimously recommended the offer to shareholders.

The bid is valuing FMS at A$80/t real forever, and if the long term iron ore price was A$100/t FOB Aust forever the NPV would be A$1/sh, so shareholders are leaving a lot of option value on the table.

Our NPV assumes that FMS has to pay A$2.3B for the mine and port (split 50:50), and a third party builds and operates the rail at A$5/t below rail access charge and A$4.40/t above rail opex, and producers at 15Mtpa.

FMS is a relatively unique asset for someone seeking to enter the Pilbara, because it is still very cheap, it is close (220km) to the next major port to be developed, and it accesses the central Pilbara.

The bid is unconditional, subject to government (FIRB) and shareholder approval.

An independent expert will be appointed by FMS to determine whether the MMK bid is in the best interests of shareholders. If approved, the transaction could be finalised by March 2012.

A great result for BBY clients.